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University of Tennessee Sets Ambitious Enrollment Goals

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News Summary

The University of Tennessee at Knoxville aims to increase its enrollment target to approximately 55,000 students by 2030, focusing on both on-campus and online programs. This shift addresses the expected decline in eligible 18-year-old students due to demographic changes. UT seeks to strengthen its online education offerings and prioritize in-state students while aiming for a high retention rate and expanding its academic programs. Chancellor Donde Plowman is set to outline a comprehensive plan to enhance student experiences and graduation rates in the years ahead.

KNOXVILLE, TN

The University of Tennessee at Knoxville (UT) has set an ambitious new enrollment goal for 2030, increasing its target from 41,000 to approximately 55,000 students. This goal includes both on-campus and online enrollments, reflecting the university’s response to challenges posed by an expected decline in the population of 18-year-olds eligible for college, referred to as the “enrollment cliff.” This demographic shift is anticipated to begin affecting college enrollment numbers starting in 2026.

To achieve its new enrollment target, UT plans to significantly enhance its online education offerings. The university aims to enroll 14,000 students in online undergraduate and graduate programs by 2030. Currently, a strategic plan is being implemented to strengthen UT’s competitive position among peer institutions. This includes a focus on improving educational experiences for students, alongside enrollment growth.

As of the fall 2024 semester, UT had an enrollment of 38,728 students, up from 30,559 students in fall 2020. For the upcoming fall semester, the university projects an enrollment of 40,705 students, which will consist of 37,205 in-person students and 3,500 online students. The UT System also reported a total enrollment of 62,149 students across all campuses in fall 2024, exceeding its goal of 61,000.

Retention and Applications

UT has shown remarkable progress in retaining first-year students, achieving a retention rate of 91.9% in fall 2024. This figure represents a significant increase from the historical range of about 80%, which followed the appointment of Chancellor Donde Plowman in 2019. The university has also witnessed a high volume of first-year applications, with a total of 59,764 applications for 2024, allowing for an enrollment rate of 11.4% from this pool of applicants.

Focus on In-State Students

In alignment with its enrollment goals, UT is prioritizing in-state students, aiming to enroll over 4,000 first-year students from Tennessee each year. While the national trends indicate a decline in high school graduates eligible for college, UT anticipates a 15% increase in the number of Tennessee high school graduates by 2041. This increase offers a positive outlook for enrollment at the university.

Enhancing Online Education

In an effort to enhance and expand its online education infrastructure, UT is collaborating with Arizona State University. This partnership is expected to help deliver more than 70 online programs by 2030, a key component of UT’s strategy to attract more students through flexible learning opportunities.

Strategic Initiatives

Chancellor Donde Plowman will present the “2030 Integrated Enrollment Plan” to the UT System Board of Trustees, outlining strategies aimed at improving student experiences alongside boosting enrollment numbers. Initiatives within this plan include the establishment of flagship schools, guaranteed admissions programs, and access to state-sponsored financial aid, such as the HOPE scholarship.

Long-Term Objective

Overall, UT’s vision extends beyond mere enrollment numbers, with a long-term objective to graduate over 50,000 students. Additionally, the university is focused on enhancing the six-year graduation rate for in-person students to 80% by 2030, which signals a commitment to not only attracting students but also ensuring their successful completion of academic programs.

The University of Tennessee at Knoxville’s proactive measures in the face of national enrollment concerns demonstrate its commitment to growth and educational excellence as it gears up for the next decade.

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